Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.397229 0.432449 0.470568 0.515101 0.565963 0.622562 0.690755
2025-11-02 0.330983 0.378192 0.433081 0.502454 0.589029 0.695228 0.838155
2025-11-09 0.292154 0.344355 0.407958 0.492770 0.605492 0.754198 0.972655
2025-11-16 0.264870 0.319492 0.388437 0.484272 0.618234 0.805980 1.103685
2025-11-23 0.244205 0.300105 0.372726 0.477228 0.629749 0.855245 1.238894
2025-11-30 0.232792 0.291272 0.369410 0.485791 0.663290 0.940878 1.451039
2025-12-07 0.219779 0.278937 0.359773 0.483599 0.679494 1.000954 1.633870
2025-12-14 0.208483 0.267942 0.350824 0.481029 0.694062 1.059864 1.830333
2025-12-21 0.195890 0.254178 0.336677 0.468852 0.690928 1.086495 1.968023
2025-12-28 0.191131 0.251167 0.337888 0.480560 0.729193 1.195520 2.324229
2026-01-04 0.185509 0.246459 0.336073 0.486989 0.758758 1.293341 2.694652
2026-01-11 0.178972 0.239959 0.330970 0.487317 0.776974 1.371330 3.048653
2026-01-18 0.170352 0.230094 0.320329 0.477892 0.776774 1.412466 3.327197
2026-01-25 0.161909 0.220116 0.308978 0.466417 0.771504 1.442188 3.591788
2026-02-01 0.154753 0.211739 0.299659 0.457704 0.770621 1.482244 3.918797
2026-02-08 0.148390 0.204267 0.291343 0.450060 0.770917 1.525416 4.289423
2026-02-15 0.142767 0.197678 0.284082 0.443719 0.773132 1.574203 4.723190
2026-02-22 0.140184 0.195737 0.284383 0.451427 0.806738 1.715789 5.712951
2026-03-01 0.136030 0.191083 0.279822 0.449454 0.818438 1.799383 6.516490
2026-03-08 0.132092 0.186597 0.275288 0.447142 0.829044 1.883076 7.439133
2026-03-15 0.126952 0.179952 0.266692 0.436173 0.817837 1.896389 7.935672
2026-03-22 0.125644 0.179499 0.268813 0.446719 0.860007 2.095824 10.160982
2026-03-29 0.123638 0.177794 0.268615 0.452505 0.891303 2.270891 12.706320